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2018 – Week 3 Predictions & Results [9/20-9/24]

[FINAL UPDATE – RESULTS ARE IN]

Week 3 of the 2018 NFL Season is in the books. And NFL Portfolio is still undefeated.    3-0. This wasn’t a route, and came down to the last game of the week. But a Win is a Win, and we’re establishing a good rhythm as we approach the season’s Quarter Point. Results below.
> Winnings: $10,600 
> W-L Record: 22-17-0 (56%) 
> 5* Plays: 13-11 (54%) 
> 4* Plays: 5-0 (100%) 
> Line Plays: 4-10 (29%) 
> Over/Under Plays: 11-2 (85%) 
> Special Plays: 7-5 (58%) 

[UPDATE #1 – POST Thursday Night Football]

Tonight’s Game Plays:
Prediction — Browns 17-14 // Actual: Browns 21-17
Plays:
1) Browns/Jets Under-40 @ 5* (WIN +$5,000)
2) Jets +3.5 @ 3* (LOSS -$1,100)
3) Browns/Jets Under-50 in 3-Team Teaser @ 5* (WON 1 of 3 Elements; Others TBD)
4) Jets +13.5 in 3-Team Teaser @ 4* (WON 1 of 3 Elements; Others TBD)

Nice start! Go Premium to get the rest of Week 3 Picks before Sunday’s 1pm EST Kick-offs!

I’ve got 38 allocations or “Plays” for Week 3, across 16 games, that kick-off tonight with Jets at Browns on Thursday Night Football.

Some other key stats about this week’s picks, which all Premium Subscribers are receiving just about now.

  1. 56% of picks (24 of them) are 5* Graded / 12% on 4* // 21% on 3* // 7% on 2* // 5% on 1*
  2. 14 Line Plays, 13 Total Plays and 11 Special Plays (Teasers)
  3. Fairly even between Favorites (9) and Underdogs (7)
  4. Same split between Home Teams (9) and Visitors (7)
  5. Same split between Overs (9) and Unders (7)
  6. Predicting 45.7 average points per game.  Actuals for Week 2 was 46.3 and Week 1 was 47.8; games are generally higher scoring than last season, presumably due to the new rules promoting Offense and protecting Quarterbacks.

For those of you who aren’t yet on that list, I’ll throw out my Lock of the Week (disclaimer: there really are no “locks” and betting on any one game is essentially a coin toss; this system works over time, on small percentage odds and with a lot of games for ammunition).  That said, Lock of the Week is the Jaguars (-6.5) at home versus their division rival Titans.

Enjoy Week 3!